Eurovision 2017 Second Semi-Final: Our Predictions

May 11, 2017 0

When 10 of the entries are toss-ups for qualifying, you know it’s going to be a good Eurovision semi-final. In all the years we have covered the Eurovision Song Contest–both here and other sites–we have not encountered a semi-final quite as tricky to predict as this year’s second semi-final. There is very little consensus among the telESCope staff or the external metrics (YouTube views, odds, etc.), which means the bubble/margin of error is quite large. Regardless, we have picked ten entries that we expect to move on to Saturday’s Grand Final. Maybe “expect” is too strong a word, but we know mathematically that at least two of our guesses will be correct… Belarus Bulgaria Denmark FYR Macedonia Hungary Israel Netherlands Norway Romania Serbia Bulgaria, Denmark, and the Netherlands are the only entries we feel certain about, as they have been in the top 10 of all metrics throughout the season. The only other entry to receive all thumbs up from the telESCope staff in the most recent rankings (done Wednesday) was Austria, but those rankings were all near the cutoff and held down by lower rankings in other metrics. The other area of consensus was in the realm of what […] [Read more…]

Eurovision 2017 YouTube Second Rehearsals: Semi-Final 2

May 7, 2017 0

Croatia may be playing spoiler in the second semi-final, making this year’s Eurovision Song Contest that much more unpredictable. Sunday’s Eurovision Song Contest festivities in Kyiv included the second round of rehearsals for the Big Five and host country Ukraine, as well as the red carpet opening ceremony for this year’s competition. With 24 hours worth of data for the entire second semi-final field, let’s take a look at how the rankings of those videos may indicated popularity going into Thursday’s performances. Here are the top 10 videos from the second semi-final second rehearsals, as of 10:30pm CET / 4:30pm Eastern: Netherlands Serbia Croatia Bulgaria FYR Macedonia Denmark Belarus Romania Israel Austria Lithuania and Estonia dropped out of the top 10 from when we looked at the first rehearsal footage, and I fear this may be bad news for both countries. Lithuania sits in 13th and Estonia is in 15th, with at least 10,000 views behind Austria. In terms of the combined viewership for both rehearsals, here’s how the field shakes out: Netherlands FYR Macedonia Croatia Bulgaria Serbia Belarus Romania Lithuania Israel Denmark Croatia is poised to play spoiler based on earlier predictions. Hungary sits in 11th, trailing by fewer […] [Read more…]

Eurovision 2017 YouTube First Rehearsals: Semi-Final 2

May 4, 2017 0

There is a clear YouTube front-runner after the first round of Eurovision semi-final rehearsals. The second set of rehearsals for the 2017 Eurovision Song Contest began Thursday in Kyiv, Ukraine. With more than 24 hours passing since the participants of the second semi-final wrapped their first set of rehearsals, let’s take a look at how those videos are faring on YouTube. Process nerds: the reason we’re doing a 24-hour delay in reporting data is to allow for the videos for those performing in the second half of the second semi-final to rack up views. As the data is about to show, an extra day on YouTube for those in the first half probably isn’t that much of an advantage. Here are the rankings1: Netherlands FYR Macedonia Romania Serbia Bulgaria Belarus Lithuania Israel Estonia Denmark The video for the Netherlands is currently dominating the first semi-final rankings, with more than 314,000 views. FYR Macedonia is behind by almost 200,000 views, and current first semi-final leader Greece has only 157,000 views. Either some loyal O’G3NE fans are hitting the repeat button, or we might want to add Netherlands to the list of challengers for the win at the Grand Final. Lithuania is […] [Read more…]

Eurovision 2017 YouTube First Rehearsals: Semi-Final 2

May 4, 2017 0

There is a clear YouTube front-runner after the first round of Eurovision semi-final rehearsals. The second set of rehearsals for the 2017 Eurovision Song Contest began Thursday in Kyiv, Ukraine. With more than 24 hours passing since the participants of the second semi-final wrapped their first set of rehearsals, let’s take a look at how those videos are faring on YouTube. Process nerds: the reason we’re doing a 24-hour delay in reporting data is to allow for the videos for those performing in the second half of the second semi-final to rack up views. As the data is about to show, an extra day on YouTube for those in the first half probably isn’t that much of an advantage. Here are the rankings1: Netherlands FYR Macedonia Romania Serbia Bulgaria Belarus Lithuania Israel Estonia Denmark The video for the Netherlands is currently dominating the first semi-final rankings, with more than 314,000 views. FYR Macedonia is behind by almost 200,000 views, and current first semi-final leader Greece has only 157,000 views. Either some loyal O’G3NE fans are hitting the repeat button, or we might want to add Netherlands to the list of challengers for the win at the Grand Final. Lithuania is […] [Read more…]