The first semi-final of the 2018 Eurovision Song Contest takes place Tuesday, May 8 in Lisbon, Portugal. Will we go 10-for-10 in our guesses for who will qualify? After much number-crunching, YouTube watching, head scratching, and on-air disagreements, we have finally compiled our data and made our prediction for which ten acts we think will advance out of the first semi-final of the 2018 Eurovision Song Contest. The 10 acts that we think will advance, presented in alphabetical order, are: Austria Azerbaijan Belgium Bulgaria Cyprus Czech Republic Estonia Finland Greece Israel Let’s talk about our confidence levels, shall we? Cyprus, Czech Republic, Estonia, Greece, and Israel landed in the top 10 across all metrics we use to compile our final prediction. We love them, the oddsmakers love them, and folks on YouTube love them. That’s full consensus in our mind. Austria, Bulgaria, and Finland are a little iffy, but we still feel pretty confident about those countries advancing. Austria’s rehearsal footage didn’t reveal much beyond a strong vocal, so we’re hoping there are some visual surprises in the broadcast to push the entry into qualifying. On the flipside, Finland has been improving in our scores since rehearsal footage came out, […]
Before the big party in Lisbon next month, we chat about the London Eurovision Party and other pre-festival shindigs. We also finish up talking about the first semi-final, including our hopes and dreams for what we’ll see on stage.
Three more songs have joined the 2018 Eurovision field—two from national selections and one from… just showing up? San Marino has a business proposition for you while Israel poses a challenge to the concept of live vocals. Plus, we get ready for the onslaught of Stupor Saturday. Get excited! [Read more…]
Will we go 10-for-10 in our guesses for who will qualify out of the first Eurovision semi-final? After much number-crunching, YouTube watching, head scratching, and consensus building, we have finally compiled our data and have made our prediction for which ten acts we think will advance out of the first semi-final of the 2017 Eurovision Song Contest. The 10 acts that we think will advance, presented in alphabetical order, are: Armenia Australia Azerbaijan Belgium Finland Greece Latvia Moldova Portugal Sweden Let’s talk about our confidence levels, shall we? Azerbaijan, Belgium, Portugal, and Sweden are the acts in which we are most confident, as they have all appeared in the top 10 of every single metric we have measured in this process. Armenia, Australia, Greece, and Moldova we also feel pretty confident about. Each had one metric that fell out of the top 10, but have otherwise strong records. Australia is the iffiest of the group, as Isaiah’s rehearsal footage was his low-scoring metric, which may indicate a slide in popularity. Moldova has been just making it into the top 10 of most rankings, though one of our gut predictions has “Hey Mamma” as 14th. The two acts that are gambles on […] [Read more…]
It’s Belgium vs. Greece in the Eurovision First Semi-Final YouTube Rehearsal Race. The countries competing in the first semi-final of the Eurovision Song Contest had their second and final rehearsal on stage in Kyiv, Ukraine Thursday and Friday. Now that a full day has passed since Latvia closed out the round, let’s take a look at the YouTube data to speculate on outcomes this Tuesday. First, it should be noted that Eurovision changed up how they presented the second rehearsal clips. Rather than a two-minute clip including staging and backstage moments, each performance was a 40-second snippet showing how the performance will look on TV during the show. It works as a teaser, as well as clearing up some concerns that may arise if there are weird camera angles from off-stage that wouldn’t be part of the actual presentation. Here is how the countries rank as of 22:35 Central European Time / 4:35pm Eastern: Belgium Greece Sweden Poland Portugal Azerbaijan Montenegro Armenia Iceland Australia That’s quite a changeup from what happened after the first rehearsal. Finland and Latvia have fallen out of the top 10, though they are both within striking distance of Australia. Belgium is solidly in first place, […] [Read more…]
There is a clear YouTube front-runner after the first round of Eurovision semi-final rehearsals. The second set of rehearsals for the 2017 Eurovision Song Contest began Thursday in Kyiv, Ukraine. With more than 24 hours passing since the participants of the second semi-final wrapped their first set of rehearsals, let’s take a look at how those videos are faring on YouTube. Process nerds: the reason we’re doing a 24-hour delay in reporting data is to allow for the videos for those performing in the second half of the second semi-final to rack up views. As the data is about to show, an extra day on YouTube for those in the first half probably isn’t that much of an advantage. Here are the rankings1: Netherlands FYR Macedonia Romania Serbia Bulgaria Belarus Lithuania Israel Estonia Denmark The video for the Netherlands is currently dominating the first semi-final rankings, with more than 314,000 views. FYR Macedonia is behind by almost 200,000 views, and current first semi-final leader Greece has only 157,000 views. Either some loyal O’G3NE fans are hitting the repeat button, or we might want to add Netherlands to the list of challengers for the win at the Grand Final. Lithuania is […] [Read more…]