Eurovision 2018 First Semi-Final Predictions

May 8, 2018 0

The first semi-final of the 2018 Eurovision Song Contest takes place Tuesday, May 8 in Lisbon, Portugal. Will we go 10-for-10 in our guesses for who will qualify? After much number-crunching, YouTube watching, head scratching, and on-air disagreements, we have finally compiled our data and made our prediction for which ten acts we think will advance out of the first semi-final of the 2018 Eurovision Song Contest. The 10 acts that we think will advance, presented in alphabetical order, are: Austria Azerbaijan Belgium Bulgaria Cyprus Czech Republic Estonia Finland Greece Israel Let’s talk about our confidence levels, shall we? Cyprus, Czech Republic, Estonia, Greece, and Israel landed in the top 10 across all metrics we use to compile our final prediction. We love them, the oddsmakers love them, and folks on YouTube love them. That’s full consensus in our mind. Austria, Bulgaria, and Finland are a little iffy, but we still feel pretty confident about those countries advancing. Austria’s rehearsal footage didn’t reveal much beyond a strong vocal, so we’re hoping there are some visual surprises in the broadcast to push the entry into qualifying. On the flipside, Finland has been improving in our scores since rehearsal footage came out, […]

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March 7, 2018 0

It’s another whirlwind trip around Europe as we hopscotch through another set of Eurovision selections. We have outlaws, humans, monsters, and wannabe heroes in the mix, but will it be opera that takes the top prize in Lisbon? [Read more…]

Eurovision 2017 YouTube Second Rehearsals: Semi-Final 2

May 7, 2017 0

Croatia may be playing spoiler in the second semi-final, making this year’s Eurovision Song Contest that much more unpredictable. Sunday’s Eurovision Song Contest festivities in Kyiv included the second round of rehearsals for the Big Five and host country Ukraine, as well as the red carpet opening ceremony for this year’s competition. With 24 hours worth of data for the entire second semi-final field, let’s take a look at how the rankings of those videos may indicated popularity going into Thursday’s performances. Here are the top 10 videos from the second semi-final second rehearsals, as of 10:30pm CET / 4:30pm Eastern: Netherlands Serbia Croatia Bulgaria FYR Macedonia Denmark Belarus Romania Israel Austria Lithuania and Estonia dropped out of the top 10 from when we looked at the first rehearsal footage, and I fear this may be bad news for both countries. Lithuania sits in 13th and Estonia is in 15th, with at least 10,000 views behind Austria. In terms of the combined viewership for both rehearsals, here’s how the field shakes out: Netherlands FYR Macedonia Croatia Bulgaria Serbia Belarus Romania Lithuania Israel Denmark Croatia is poised to play spoiler based on earlier predictions. Hungary sits in 11th, trailing by fewer […] [Read more…]

Eurovision 2017 YouTube First Rehearsals: Semi-Final 2

May 4, 2017 0

There is a clear YouTube front-runner after the first round of Eurovision semi-final rehearsals. The second set of rehearsals for the 2017 Eurovision Song Contest began Thursday in Kyiv, Ukraine. With more than 24 hours passing since the participants of the second semi-final wrapped their first set of rehearsals, let’s take a look at how those videos are faring on YouTube. Process nerds: the reason we’re doing a 24-hour delay in reporting data is to allow for the videos for those performing in the second half of the second semi-final to rack up views. As the data is about to show, an extra day on YouTube for those in the first half probably isn’t that much of an advantage. Here are the rankings1: Netherlands FYR Macedonia Romania Serbia Bulgaria Belarus Lithuania Israel Estonia Denmark The video for the Netherlands is currently dominating the first semi-final rankings, with more than 314,000 views. FYR Macedonia is behind by almost 200,000 views, and current first semi-final leader Greece has only 157,000 views. Either some loyal O’G3NE fans are hitting the repeat button, or we might want to add Netherlands to the list of challengers for the win at the Grand Final. Lithuania is […] [Read more…]

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